What a surprise UNLV was last year.
Not only did the Rebels win more games than the previous three seasons combined, but they went way Over their win total Over/Under of 5.5. The Rebels had six wins by Week 8. They went on to finish 9-5 and win their most games since 1984.
UNLV’s win total Over/Under ahead of this season is at 7.5 with the Over at +125 and the Under at -150. I don’t necessarily think this correlates with UNLV’s odds of +450 to win the Mountain West, which are the second shortest odds behind Boise State (-145).
If the Rebels were to make it to the MW Championship — let alone win it — they would have to reach at least seven conference wins. All they’d need would be a non-conference victory to hit the Over. But their non-conference slate is why this number is at 7.5.
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How Many Games Will UNLV Win In 2024?
UNLV has four Power Four opponents on its schedule. I think the Rebels win at least one of these, and it’s likely to come at home against Syracuse in Week 6. I’ll say this will be the Rebels’ third win of the season.
They should pick up a victory against Utah Tech in Week 2, and I think they’ll find a way to beat Fresno State at home in Week 5 to open conference play. The Rebels haven’t beaten Fresno State since 2017, but the last couple meetings have been close. I believe this is the season they finally get over that hump.
Following the matchup with Syracuse, the Rebels will visit Utah State, which could be a high scoring affair but should be a UNLV victory. They’ll then play Oregon State and Boise State before going into a bye week.
Out of the bye, the Rebels have a favorable four-game conference stretch to close out the regular season. After visiting Hawaii, they’ll host San Diego State, play at San Jose State, and then compete at home against Nevada in a rivalry meeting. I anticipate the Rebels to win each of these and close the regular season on a four-game winning streak.
How Many Games Will UNLV Lose In 2024?
In the first three weeks of the season, the Rebels will visit a pair of Big 12 teams in Houston and Kansas. I don’t think they will win either of these games, but they should definitely give themselves a chance. UNLV is currently just a 3.5-point underdog in that Week 1 matchup with Houston.
I also don’t see the Rebels going on the road to beat Oregon State in a great environment for the Beavers or knocking off Boise State in an anticipated league game. Again, don’t count out the Rebels in either contest, but I think these are two games on the schedule that they lose.
UNLV Football Bet Prediction
There are quite a few games on UNLV’s schedule that could easily go either way. That includes each of those Power Four meetings and a couple conference contests.
I think they can get half of these to fall their way. Expectations are high for the Rebels ahead of the season, and they can easily win eight games.
Taking Over 7.5 wins seems like the best bet here, especially with getting it at plus-money.
