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CFB Betting Lines: Mountain West Picks & Predictions For Week 6

Ron Counts by Ron Counts
October 3, 2024
Navy Midshipmen quarterback Blake Horvath

AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.

Navy hopes to keep its undefeated streak alive at Air Force on Saturday at noon ET on CBS.

Navy is in search of its first 5-0 start since 2017. The Midshipmen racked up 361 yards and five touchdowns on the ground in a 56-44 win over Memphis two weeks ago. They posted 452 yards of offense in a 41-18 win over UAB last week. Navy’s 46 points a game ranks No. 9 in the country.

Navy quarterback Blake Horvath has been electric. He has accounted for 1,087 yards of offense and 15 total touchdowns (eight rushing and seven passing). He threw two touchdowns of more than 70 yards against UAB, including a 74-yard strike to Eli Heidenreich, who already has five touchdown catches this season and is two shy of setting the program’s single-season record. 

Air Force is coming off a 31-19 loss at Wyoming. The Falcons managed just 205 rushing yards despite fullback Dylan Carson’s return from injury. 


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Navy at Air Force Betting Line

Navy is a 9.5-point college football betting odds favorite, and the Over/Under is 37 points. Air Force has won four straight games against the Midshipmen and leads the all-time series 34-22. Navy hasn’t won in Colorado Springs, Colorado, since 2012. 

Navy-Air Force Prediction 

I predict Navy wins 42-17. Navy has been unbeatable this season, and I think the Midshipmen’s hot streak continues this weekend. Horvath is a matchup nightmare, and he’s surrounded by weapons on offense. Air Force has an offense that’s been stuck in neutral because of injuries and roster turnover. The Falcons rank last in the Mountain West with 12.5 points a game. 

UNLV Eyes Another P4 win

Syracuse at UNLV

How to watch: 9 p.m. ET, Friday, FS1

Betting line: UNLV is a 6.5-point favorite, and the Over/Under is 58.5 points. Syracuse is 8-12 against the spread in its past 20 games as an underdog on the road. UNLV is 10-10 ATS in its past 20 games as the favorite at home. 

Prediction: I predict UNLV wins 30-27. With how UNLV quarterback Hajj Malik-Williams played last week against Fresno State, one is left to wonder why he hasn’t been starting all season. He threw for three touchdowns and added 119 yards and another score on the ground in the Rebels’ 59-14 win. His stats may not be as gaudy against Syracuse, but I think he’ll do enough to lead UNLV to its third win of the season against a team from a Power Four conference.


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Mountain West Games On Saturday 

Utah State at Boise State

How to watch: 7 p.m. ET, FS2

Betting line: Boise State is a 26.5-point favorite, and the Over/Under is 66.5 points.

Prediction: I predict Boise State wins 56-28. Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty has been unstoppable no matter who the Broncos play. I believe he’ll put up more video game-like numbers and Boise State will pull away early. 

Colorado State at Oregon State

How to watch: 6:30 p.m. ET, The CW

Betting line: Oregon State is an 11-point favorite, and the Over/Under is 47.5 points.

Prediction: I predict Colorado State wins 24-21. When healthy, Colorado State’s offense can give any defense fits, and Rams head coach Jay Norvell said earlier this week that he expects wide receiver Tory Horton to be available to play this weekend. That’s enough to give the Rams a slight edge in what should be a close game. 

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Nevada at San Jose State

How to watch: 7:30 p.m. ET, TruTV/Max

Betting line: San Jose State is a 7-point favorite, and the Over/Under is 51.5 points. 

Prediction: I predict San Jose State wins 24-17. San Jose State quarterback Emmett Brown leads the Mountain West with 13 touchdown passes, eight of which have gone to wide receiver Nick Nash. I think the duo will do enough to lead the Spartans to a win in what could be the conference’s game of the week. 

Hawaii at San Diego State

How to watch: 8 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network

Betting line: San Diego State is a 2.5-point favorite, and the Over/Under is 50.5 points. 

Prediction: I predict Hawaii wins 27-17. Hawaii’s passing attack, led by quarterback Brayden Schager, averages 265.3 yards a game, which ranks No. 3 in the Mountain West this season. He’ll look for his favorite target, wide receiver Pofele Ashlock, and I believe the Warriors will knock off San Diego State for the first time since 2019. 

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